Arkansas State vs Utah State Free ATS Experts Prediction, 9-16-2016

Arkansas State vs Utah State Free ATS Experts PredictionArkansas State (0-2) vs Utah State (1-1)

NCAAF: Friday September 15, 2016, 9pm EST
Odds: Utah State -9, 55

Arkansas State vs Utah State Free ATS Experts Prediction
A non-conference matchup between a couple of mid-major programs takes place in Logan, UT.  The Arkansas State Red Wolves look to shake off a rough start to the season as they travel to face the Utah State Aggies for Friday night college football action.

The Arkansas Sate Red Wolves fell to 0-2 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after being easily defeated by the Auburn Tigers, 51-14, this past Saturday.  The Red Wolves had no answer for Auburn and were  out gained by Auburn by a 706-326 margin.  In Week 1 the Red Wolves were beat by Toledo, 31-10.

Arkansas State is averaging just 12.0 ppg on 296.0 total yards per game (192.0 passing, 104.0 rushing).  Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing on average 41.0 ppg on 631.0 total yards per game.  Arkansas State has a done a nice job concerning turnovers as they currently have a turnover margin of plus 3.

Utah State is also coming off a drubbing in Week 2 losing to USC 45-7.  In Week 1, the Aggies beat up on Weber State 45-6.  We expect this team to play somewhere in the middle as they aren’t able to contend with the top of the major conferences but they are capable of keeping pace with the middle of the mid majors.

Utah State is averaging 26.0 ppg on 390.5 total yards per game
Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on an average of 333.5 yards per game (190.5 passing, 143.0 rushing) and the Aggies have a turnover margin of plus 1 on the season.

The Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Aggies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 Friday games and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.  In this series the Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Arkansas State has a lot of unproven players at skill positions which has cost them to start the season.  They lost some key contributors from last seasons Sun Belt Championship team.  Utah State has played to both extremes so it’s tough to get a good indication as to where this team stands.  Arkanasas State is a much better team on the both sides of the ball that they have shown and I think the Red Wolves are getting too many points in this one to pass on.  They will be eager to get a win but at the very least they should be able to keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

Arkansas State vs Utah State Free ATS Experts Prediction: Arkansas State +9

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