Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees, 7/18/2016: ATS Expert Prediction

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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
MLB Betting Pick & Prediction
Odds: Orioles -120, O/U 9
Game Time: 7:05pm EST

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles Kevin Gausman (1-6, 4.15 ERA) vs Ivan Nova (6-5, 5.18 ERA)

AL East rivals matchup Monday night in the Bronx for a 4 game series.  The Orioles are off a three game set with the Rays, winning 2 of 3.  New York is off a three game set vs the Red Sox, losing 2 of 3 but they did win the Sunday night game to avoid the sweep.

Baltimore has a 2 game lead over the Red Sox in the AL East and the Yankees are 8.5 games back of the Orioles.  The Orioles have bashed their way to the top of the AL East and are lead by Mark Trumbo who is the MLB leader with 28 home runs.

Manny Machado, Jonathan Schoop, Adam Jones and Chris Davis are all very dangerous hitters and are a reason why this offense is so strong.

The Orioles downfall may be their starting pitching.  They will desperately need to pick up some arms by the trade deadline to make a run towards the playoffs.

The Orioles enter this game ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.08 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .272 and 1st in homers with 137.

On the mound the Orioles are ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.35, while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.42. On the road Oriole starters come in with an ERA of 5.88, while their pen has an ERA of 3.45.

The New York Yankees had a nice four game series vs the Indians on the road right before the break as they took three of the four game and scored 25 runs in the four games.

The Red Sox then came to town and took the first two games of the series and the Yankees totaled just five runs in the two games.

It may be July but this is a very important series for the Yankees. They need to start chipping away at the Orioles lead in the AL East if they expect to make the playoffs.

New York lacks pitching and offensive production.  Outside of Carlos Beltran, their lineup really doesn’t pose many threats to opposing teams.

The Yankees send out Ivan Nova to the mound tonight.  Nova has gone 26-19 with a 4.45 ERA in 65 games (60 starts) during his career here at Yankee Stadium, while vs the Orioles he is 7-4 with a 5.22 ERA in 16 games (15 starts).

Baltimore is:

  • 8-1 their last nine games vs the American League East
  • 22-8 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record
  • Orioles are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings

New York is:

  • 3-7 in Nova’s last 10 starts during game one of a series
  • 1-7 in Nova’s last eight home starts vs. a team with a winning record

Free Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles -120

Baltimore is the pick here and expect their offense to once again lead the way. The Orioles are 5-2 in Gausmans last 7 starts vs. Yankees and the Yankees are 1-4 in Novas last 5 starts.

Take the Orioles -120 tonight to open up their series with a win in the Bronx.  

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