Colorado vs Washington Pac 12 Championship Free College Football Pick, 12-2-2016

Colorado vs Washington Pac 12 Championship Free College Football Pick
Colorado Buffaloes (10-2) vs Washington Huskies (11-1)
Pac 12 Championship: Friday Dec 2nd at 9:00 pm EST
Odds: Washington -7.5, O/U 58
Free College Football Pick by Aiden Necholas of Documented Handicappers
The Colorado Buffaloes and Washington Huskies will meet up at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Ca for the Pac 12 Championship game on Friday night at 9pm est.  It’s still undetermined where the winner of this game will play but most likely a Washington win will result in the Huskies getting selected to the 4 team College Football Playoff and a Colorado win may land them in the Rose Bowl.
The Buffaloes finished their regular season with six straight victories, and their only conference loss was on the road to USC on Oct. 8.  Colorado had a hard fought win over Utah this past weekend, 27-22, to clinch their Pac 12 Championship ticket.
The Colorado offense is averaging 34.8 points per game with 201.1 rushing yards and 268.8 passing yards per game.  The Buffs are lead by QB Sefo Liufau who has thrown for 2, 150 yards, 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.  Liufau is a dual threat QB who gets it done with his legs as well rushing for 481 yards and 7 rushing touchdowns.  The Buffs leading rusher this season was Phillip Lindsay who carried the ball for 1136 yards and 15 TD’s, averaging 5.4 yards per carry.  Liufau’s running ability could present the Washington defense with some problems. The Huskies notably struggled containing Arizona’s dual-threat QB Brandon Dawkins, who rushed for 176 yards and 2 TDs.
While CU was productive on offense, there is no mistaking that their defense is the reason they are in the Pac 12 Championship.  Defensively, Colroado ranks 12th in Total Yards conceding 323 YPG, they rank 20th in Passing YPG (187.3) and they rank 13th in points per game (18.8). Colorado has an excellent pass defense which comfortably finished No. 1 in the Pac-12 in just about every important category. The Colorado corners’ ability to hold up in coverage can allow them to do what USC did so well in their win against Washington, which was to take away the run while limiting the passing game.
It took 10 weeks for Washington to suffer a defeat as their only loss was to USC, 26-13.  The Huskies were on the winning side of some lopsided victories this season as their offense steamrolled 9 teams out of the 12 teams they played.  The Washington offense is averaging 44.8 points per game with 205.4 rushing yards and 279.6 passing yards per game.  QB Jake Browning lead the offense throwing for 3162 yards, 40 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions.  The Huskies have two featured backs, Myles Gaskin rushed for 1180 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Lavon Coleman has rushed for 735 yards and 6 scores for the Huskies.  Washington also has a 1,000 yard receiver in John Ross who caught 72 passes for 1071 yards and 16 touchdowns.  By now you get the picture, Washington’s offense is one of the best in the country.
While the offense gets a lot of notoriety, their defense has been very stingy as well.  The Huskies defense is giving up 17.8 points per game with 127 rushing yards and 201.1 passing yards per game.  Giving up 17.8 points per game ranks them 11th in the country not far behind Colorado.  This Huskies defense does have the ability to limit Liufau’s ability to throw the ball considering that is not his strongest attribute.  Washington’s game plan will be to make CU’s offense one dimensional.
The matchup to watch will be Washington QB Jake Browning vs the Colorado secondary.  Will the Buffaloes elite secondary be able to limit the big plays by the wide outs?
Buffaloes are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Buffaloes are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall
Buffaloes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games
Huskies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings
Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings
Aiden’s Final Thoughts: Both of these teams have played really well this season and have a legitimate shot at winning this game.  I do feel that -7.5 points is a tad too much to lay on Washington as the Colorado defense should be able to keep them in this ball game.  Washington has played in some lop sided victories which may make them a pick for the betting public but not for me.  USC beat both of these teams but Colorado’s loss was on the road and they played the Trojans tough in a near comeback effort. Washington hosted the Trojans and were never really in the game.  I think this Buffaloes team is still slightly underrated due to their quarterback play but not in my eyes.  I am taking the Buffaloes +7.5 points and I won’t be surprised if they win this game SU.

Colorado vs Washington Pac 12 Championship Free College Football Pick: Colorado +7.5

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