Cowboys vs Vikings FREE NFL Spread Pick, 12-1-2016 – Sports Picks Forum
Dallas Cowboys (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS) vs.
Minnesota Vikings (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)
NFL: Thursday December 1st, 8:30pm EST
Spread: Vikings +3, 44
NFL Pick Against the Spread by: Frank Obst of SportsPicksForum.com
Last 30: 23 Wins – 15 Losses: 61%
Unit Gain/Loss: +2296 Units
Thursday Night Football features the NFC East and Conference leading Dallas Cowboys visiting the Minnesota Vikings. There have been recent discussions revolving around removing Thursday Night football from the NFL schedule, and let’s be honest, the quality of games has been poor. I’m not in favor of removing this game from the schedule but the NFL can do a much better job scheduling games.
The Cowboys (10-1) are on a franchise-record 10-game winning streak, and it sure looks like the NFC playoffs will run through Dallas as no other team in the conference has fewer than three losses. The Cowboys failed to cover the -6.5 point spread on Thanksgiving but they did beat the Redskins 31-26. Dak Prescott threw for 195 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 39 yards and another score. Ezekiel Elliott carried 20 times for 97 yards and two scores. Will these two rookie superstars ever hit the rookie wall?
Remember when the Vikings were the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL starting the season (5-0)? It seems like a distant memory but their 1st loss to Philadelphia triggered a 4 game losing streak and while they beat Arizona to snap the streak, they are coming off a Thanksgiving Day loss to NFC North Division leader Detroit.
Minnesota’s offense just isn’t very good with the league’s worst rushing attack. Adrian Peterson is sorely missed and Bradford is not the type of quarterback who is going to win games by himself. This Vikings defense is starting to feel the effects of the offense not putting together sustainable drives.
The Vikings need to start winning if they want to sneak into the Wild Card discussion. Luckily, the Vikings have won 6 of their last 7 home games. Minnesota’s defense ranks 3rd overall allowing only 307 YPG but if this defense has a flaw lately it’s been stopping the run. They allow 100 rushing yards per game which ranks them 14th and sets up nicely for Ezekiel Elliot. However, the Vikings defense allows only 17.5 PPG good for 2nd in the NFL.
This line is a tad fishy to me as the Cowboys are a much better overall team and are favored by only -3 points. However, the Cowboys defense does not put a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks and they allow over 362 YPG. This should give Sam Bradford some time and opportunity to help out his defense. The Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games and 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games overall. I think the Cowboys are due for a sub par game and if the Vikings defense can put pressure on Dak Prescott he may start to feel the effects of a long NFL season.
I’m taking the Vikings +3 in this matchup. You can bet that the majority of the betting public will be riding the Cowboys but I think the Vikings will be playing with a sense of urgency while the Cowboys may be set on cruise control. Take the Vikings +3 at home and don’t be surprised if they win SU.