Giants vs Packers NFC Wild Card Prediction – King Sports Picks
New York Giants (11-5; 9-6-1 ATS; 4-12 O/U) vs.
Green Bay Packers (10-6; 9-6-1 ATS; 10-6 O/U)
Odds: Packers -5.5, 44.5
Game Time: 4:40pm EST
There is nothing that says playoff football quite like playing in single digit temperatures in the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. A trip to the NFL Divisional Playoffs is up for grabs when the Green Bay Packers host the New York Giants in an NFC Wild-Card game on Sunday afternoon. The Giants finished the regular season with an (11-5) record and 2nd in the NFC East. Green Bay went on a run to win their final six games to win the NFC North with a (10-6) record.
One of the biggest concerns for the New York Giants is Eli Manning’s performance over the final 5 games of the season, tossing 6 interceptions. Manning threw for 4027 passing yards with a 26:16 TD to INT ratio. One of the biggest knocks on Eli is his penchant for throwing interceptions. In fact, Eli has thrown double digit interceptions totals in every season but his rookie season when he only played in 9 games. Interceptions can be game killers and this holds especially true in the playoffs.
If New York is looking for a good omen, the Giants have had the Packers’ number in the playoffs, especially at Lambeau. New York won in Green Bay in 2008 and 2012 en route to Super Bowl titles. If the Giants are going to pull out a victory this afternoon it will be due to the defensive play. Last season, the Giants owned the 30th ranked defense, allowing an average of just under 28 points per game, however this season the Giants are only allowing an average of 17.8 points per game, which ranks them second in the NFL. In this cold weather game, a solid defensive unit can be the key to a victory.
If one team in the NFL Playoffs were praying for cold weather it would be the Green Bay Packers. Rodgers ranks second with a passer rating of 101.5 in eight cold-weather starts of all the Playoff quarterbacks. The California native thrives in cold weather games and the Packers need a “hot” Aaron Rodgers today in order to beat the Giants.
The Packers are 4th in scoring offense (27.0 points per game), while the Giants are 2nd in scoring D (17.8 PPG) — and also sport the top red zone unit. Aaron Rodgers has been scorching as of late, throwing for 18 touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past 7 games. Today, Rodgers faces a tough New York defense. The Giants defense has 17 interceptions and allowed only 15 touchdowns. However, they aren’t necessarily great against the pass ranking 23rd in the NFL allowing over 251 passing yards per game.
The biggest liability the Packers have is their secondary. Green Bay was decimated with injuries especially in their secondary this season, and as a result finished with the 31st ranked pass defense. The Packers allowed an average of 24.2 points per game, ranking them 21st in the NFL. One stat that off sets the Packers liability is the New York Giants ranked 26th in the NFL scoring only 19.4 PPG.
At Lambeau Field, the UNDER has come in for 10 of the past 14 Green Bay games. The Giants are 9-0 ATS in their last nine road playoff games and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games overall. As much as I like the Packers teams, I think they do move on to the Divisional round but the Giants defense is very good and they should keep this game close. I think the Giants can remain within this spread and the final score should separate these teams by a field goal. Eil plays well at Lambeau Field which helps the Giants stay within striking distance. Take the Giants +5.5 in what should be an exciting matchup.