Indians vs. Nationals Winning Prediction, 8-10-2016

Indians vs Nationals Winning PredictionCleveland Indians vs Washington Nationals
Indians vs Nationals Winning Prediction by Russell Davis of Precision Picks

First Pitch: 4:05pm EST Washington, DC

Starters: Josh Tomlin (11-4, 3.81 ERA) vs Gio Gonzalez (7-9, 4.13 ERA)

The Line: Cleveland Indians +124 | Washington Nationas -134, O/U 8.5

The Cleveland Indians took game 1 of this two game series vs the Washington Nationals, 3-1.  The second game features Josh Tomlin pitching for the Indians vs Gio Gonzalez of the Nationals.

Josh Tomlin will make his 21st start of the season, looking to rebound form his worst outing of the season. Tomlin surrendered seven runs in 4.2 innings to the Yankees in his previous start and was hit with the loss.

Tomlin’s last outing factors into why the books have the Indians listed as underdogs. The Indians feature one of the best starting rotations, and have a 3.86 team ERA, placing them eighth in the Majors.

Mike Napoli has been a nice addition to the Indians lineup as he is hitting .253 with 28 home runs and 79 RBI’s on the season.  The Indians have scored five or more runs in nine out of their last ten games and are now averaging 4.99 runs per game, good for fourth in all of baseball, and have a .262 team batting average.

Gio Gonzalez will make his 23rd start of the season, aiming for his second straight win.  Gonzalez seems to be back on track and put up a win in his last outing against the Giants, going seven strong with two hits and one earned. Luckily for Gonzalez he has some beasts in the lineup to back himtonight on the hill.

Daniel Murphy has 139 hits with 66 runs, 21 homers and 81 RBI. Wilson Ramos has 116 hits with 52 runs, 18 homers and 62 RBI. Anthony Rendon is sitting on 105 hits with 65 runs, 13 homers and 46 RBI on the season.

The Nationals lineup is averaging 4.70 runs per game, ranking them 9th in MLB and a .252 team batting average. The Nationals pitching has been magnificent, boasting a 3.21 team ERA, good for 2nd in the Majors.

Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games

Indians are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games

Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East

Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter

Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter

Indians are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 2 of a series

Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 overall.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games on grass.

Nationals are 16-4 in Gonzalezs last 20 Wednesday starts.

Nationals are 12-4 in Gonzalezs last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington

Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings

Under is 19-6-1 in Nationals last 26 vs. a team with a winning record

Under is 35-16-1 in Indians last 52 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record

Indians vs Nationals Winning Prediction: Under 8.5

Gonzalez has been solid as of late, sporting a sparkling 2.03 ERA in his last five starts, and he has a dominating 5-0 record with a 1.07 ERA in his career against Cleveland.  Tomlin should bounce back after his last outing so I expect this game to stay Under 8.5 runs.

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