Lone Star State Showdown: Astros vs Rangers Free MLB Pick from SPF!

Astros vs Rangers, Free MLB PickHouston Astros vs Texas Rangers
Game Odds, Free MLB Pick & Prediction

Tuesday June 7, 8:05pm EST

Odds: Rangers -107, O/U 9

It’s a battle for the Lone Star State tonight in Arlington as AL West rivals Houston Astros take on the Texas Rangers.  The 2015 AL Wild Card winner, Astros, are starting to dig out of their early season hole.  Houston is (28-31) and they are clawing back to .500.  Texas leads the AL West with a (35-22) record.

Houston starts reigning AL Cy Young winner Dallas Keuchel (3-7, 5.50). Keuchel is suffering a Cy Young hangover and has struggled early on this season but Keuchel has pitched a bit better of late with three quality starts in his past four.  He allowed three runs and six hits over six innings in  his last outing against Arizona, a loss against another former AL Cy Young winner, Zack Greinke.  Keuchel is 0-2 with a 9.75 ERA in two starts against Texas this season and the Rangers batters are licking their chops tonight as they are hitting .407 off him.

The Rangers usher out Cole Hamels (5-1, 3.39) tonight, the former Phillie and NLCS, World Series MVP.  Hamels thrives on his changeup but has had a home run problem lately allowing nine of them combined in his past five starts.  Hamels has beaten Houston twice this year. On May 22 in Houston, he allowed one earned run and five hits over eight innings, striking out a season-high 11. On April 20 at home, he allowed a run and five hits over 6.2 innings.

Houston is:

2-5 in Keuchel’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
2-7 in Keuchel’s last 9 starts
1-4 in Keuchel’s last 5 starts vs. American League West
Texas is:
5-1 in Hamels’ last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record
10-2 in Hamels’ last 12 starts vs. American League West
10-2 in Hamels’ last 12 home starts

The play is Texas Rangers -107 tonight as Cole Hamels has pitched well vs the Astros and Keuchel is not the same pitcher as he was in 2015.  All the numbers favor Hamels and the Rangers, 13-3 in Hamels’ last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 18-5 in Hamels last 23 starts.  Look for the Rangers to get the win tonight at home.

Pick: Rangers -107

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