Marlins vs Phillies: Free Pick 7-20-2016

Marlins vs Phillies Free PickFREE MLB Pick & Prediction

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Line: Miami -125 / Philadelphia 115
Marlins vs Phillies free pick provided by Chris Sampson of MLB Handicappers
We have an NL East matchup slated for this evening at Citizens Bank Park as the Phillies host the Marlins for game 3 of their 4 game series.  The Marlins are favored (-125) with the total set at 8.
Miami took game one winning 3-2 and also game two winning 2-1.
Both games were low scoring and played right into the Marlins game plan.  The Marlins have been a nice surprise this season with a (51-42) record and currently sit 4.5 games behind the Nationals in the NL East.

The Marlins hand the ball to Wei-Yin Chen (LH) (5-3, 4.90 ERA).  Chen is 4-2 with a 4.33 ERA in nine starts on the road this season and is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three starts vs the Phillies which includes (0-1) with a 3.00 ERA in one start in Philadelphia.

The Marlins are 9-4 in their last 13 game threes of a series, and 1-4 in their last five Wednesday games. Miami is also 5-1 in Chen’s last six starts and 5-1 in Chen’s last six starts on grass.

RHP Jeremy Hellickson will get the call for the Phillies on Wednesday. In his 19 starts and 6-7 record this year, Hellickson has put up a 4.03 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP in 111.2 innings. In a loss to the Mets his last time out, Hellickson gave up four earned on seven hits in six innings.

Jeremy Hellickson may not just be facing the visiting Miami Marlins on Wednesday, he also might be auditioning for them as well.

With the trade deadline on the horizon, the 29-year-old reportedly has piqued the interest of the Marlins (among others) as the team attempts to bolster the rotation in its quest for a postseason berth.

The Phillies have a few key hitters atop their lineup. Odubel Herrera holds 100 hits with 51 runs, 10 homers and 33 RBI. Maikel Franco has managed 86 hits with 37 runs, 18 homers and 55 RBI.

Most of the public may be backing the Marlins in this game but look at this game from a different angle.  Hellickson has pitched well lately, despite his record.  He knows he may not be with the Phillies past the trade deadline which provides extra incentive to pitch well.
Marlins are 2-5 in Chens last 7 starts vs. National League East
Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss
Phillies are 4-1 in Hellicksons last 5 Wednesday starts
Marlins are 18-37 in the last 55 meetings in Philadelphia
Look for the Phillies to pull out a win in tonight’s ball game.  Value is on the home underdogs.

Marlins vs Phillies Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +115

Free MLB Pick by: MLB Handicapper Chris Sampson

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