Tennessee vs Vanderbilt College Football Pick Against the Spread
Tennessee Volunteers (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS)
NCAAF: Saturday, November 26, 2016 at 7:30 p.m.
Where: Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
Line: Tennessee -7.5
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt College Football Pick Against the Spread by Fred Berns of King Sports Picks
Volunteer state rivals will face off Saturday night in Vanderbilt Stadium as #17 Tennessee Volunteers visit the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Volunteers will come into this as winners of three in a row, most recently a 63-37 beat down against Missouri while the Commodores were able to come up big in a 38-17 win against Ole Miss. Vanderbilt’s defense has been excellent of late, not giving up more than 26 points in any of their previous 5 games. Will the Commodores knock off another SEC opponent?
Tennessee QB Joshua Dobbs showed up big last week in their win over Missouri. Dobbs threw for 223 yards, 3 touchdowns and rushed for another 190 yards and 2 touchdowns. These stats were exactly what the Volunteers had hoped for the entire season. However, three straight losses in October to Texas A&M, Alabama and South Carolina derailed talks of a major bowl game. Nevertheless, a win over Vandy would give them 9 wins and a chance at a 10 win season if they win out. Yards and points will come at a premium tonight as Vanderbilt’s defense has been playing very well and the Commodores will have extra incentive to knock of a top 25 interstate rival.
Vanderbilt would love to get .500 with a win over Tennessee. The Commodores have had some close losses to Georgia, Kentucky and Auburn but for the most part they have played tough the entire season. Their offense has revolved around RB Ralph Webb who has amassed 1058 yards and 10 touchdowns and averages 5.1 yards per carry. Expect Webb to have another big game considering Tennessee has the second worst rushing defense in the conference, letting opponents gash the team for 235.27 rushing yards per game.
Vandy is (3-2) on the season at home while Tennessee is (2-2) away. The Volunteers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a losing home record and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vandy is 4-1 ATS vs a team with a winning record and the Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings. Tennessee has won 31 of the past 34 meetings with Vanderbilt and is 15-1 in Nashville since 1983. This should be a hard fought game that sometimes plays out differently then the records or rankings. I think -7.5 points may be too much with to lay with Tennessee’s sloppy road play this year.
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt College Football Pick Against the Spread: Vanderbilt +7.5